POLY EDGE
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Polymarket analytics

The world is changing.
Look deeper.

Events, probabilities, and market prices — in one workspace. Compare the data with market expectations.

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Polymarket market

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A world of contextFederal ReserveElectionsChampions LeagueAppleOilWeatherSpaceX

From information to decisions

Turn data into
insight.

Test the evidence.
Understand what supports each outcome.

  1. 01

    Gather the data

    Official sources, statistics, and market data. Every observation has a traceable source.

  2. 02

    Estimate the probability

    We evaluate outcomes and check model quality. When the evidence is insufficient, we say so.

  3. 03

    Compare with the market

    We keep the market price separate from the model estimate, accounting for uncertainty and execution conditions.

  4. 04

    Look for an edge

    A signal appears only after validation. Choosing not to trade is a normal outcome.

EDGE — a difference that matters

Price reflects the market view.
There is more to consider.

If the market implies a 58% probability and the conservative estimate is 68%, the difference is 10 percentage points.

Educational example · Not a trading signal
Market-implied probability58%
Model estimate72%
Conservative estimate68%
Difference before costs+10pp
Confidence91 / 100

This example excludes fees and slippage. Net edge in the working system accounts for costs. An estimate does not guarantee the outcome.

A world of markets

Beyond a single asset.
A world of events.

Crypto is one part of the picture.
The context extends beyond any single market.

Politics

Elections and decisions that shift the balance of power.

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Economy

Interest rates, inflation, and central bank decisions.

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Sports

Events on the field. Probabilities beyond it.

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Companies and technology

Corporate events, product launches, and what comes next.

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Weather and the world

Nature, geopolitics, and everyday events.

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Crypto

A dedicated research module within the broader system.

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Clarity starts with an overview

What matters.
In one place.

Capital, opportunities, evidence, and risk.
One focused workspace.

Open POLY EDGE

Available in your browser and as an installable web app.